Research at the Bow Group

The Bow Group regularly publishes policy papers on a wide range of issues. In this section of the site, you can look at a list of papers published by the Bow Group and order them online.

Publications available online

Author Title
Gary Jones, Stuart Carroll, Jennifer White

The Quality and Outcomes Framework - What Type of Quality and Which Outcomes?


Analysis of the Quality and Outcomes Framework Report for the NHS.

This policy paper evaluates the progress that QOF has made since its introduction and considers the different ways in which the QOF can be reformed. It specifically looks at the role the QOF can play in tackling health inequalities, which is widely recognised as a persistent health challenge confronting the UK. Using expert opinion and stakeholder analysis, the Bow Group’s detailed analysis concludes that one of the major problems informing the QOF is its perverse nature. For a framework that claims to be about quality and outcomes, the QOF is operationally geared towards emphasising process and targets. The report recommends that in order to drive up standards, there is an urgent need for a greater emphasis on outcomes indicators over process. It argues that whilst there is a clear role for process measures in supporting the foundations of the QOF, there is a real danger that a lack of focus on outcomes can drive down standards and result in perverse incentives for healthcare professionals and in turn unintended outcomes. The report also finds that the QOF’s performance in reducing health inequalities has been at best mixed and at worst disappointing. Under the QOF, GPs working in inner-city areas may feel they have to work much harder, and invest more practice resources, to perform well against outcome-based quality targets. In order to counter this, the report recommends that the QOF should be reformed to contain an appropriate incentives structure to support GPs working in deprived areas.

Lord Heseltine & Tony Lodge

'The Right Track' Delivering the Conservatives’ Vision for High Speed Rail


'The Right Track' Delivering the Conservatives’ Vision for High Speed Rail

For the last four months the Bow Group’s Transport Committee has analysed the various proposals which have been submitted to the Government to build the next phase of high speed rail (HS2) in Britain, connecting London with Birmingham and the north. The Bow Group’s detailed analysis, as set out in the attached pamphlet pdf, concludes: · The Government risks choosing the wrong route for Britain’s second high speed railway to connect London with Birmingham, Manchester, Leeds and Scotland. · HS2 should initially be directly linked to Heathrow Airport through the construction of a Heathrow hub interchange station combining HS2, the Great Western Main Line, Chiltern Line, Crossrail and Airtrack services. Other British airports such as Birmingham and Manchester should also be directly linked to HS2. · Heathrow is one of the most difficult national airports in Europe to reach by rail, thus forcing many potential travellers to use other European hub airports. eg, from Bristol alone over 10,000 passengers per week fly to other European hub airports to interline. A Great Western high speed link would allow them to use Heathrow instead. They choose to interline elsewhere due to poor rail access to Heathrow. · Successful HS2 connection through Heathrow will mean more flights from the airport in the long term as more people choose to use the airport. · Without direct HSR connection to Heathrow road traffic congestion and pollution around the airport and the M25 will continue to be amongst the worst in Europe. · The Government must not just listen to the rail industry when making its choice for the route of HS2. British Rail was wrong in its choice for the first section of high speed rail, between London and the Channel Tunnel in the 1980s, and a better route, promoted by Lord Heseltine, was chosen. · A non-direct HSR link with Heathrow and other airports, represented by a loop or spur line, would represent folly in Britain’s ambition to develop a truly integrated transport policy. · A successful national high speed rail network should directly connect all of Britain’s major airports and cities as is successfully reflected in France, the Netherlands, Belgium and Germany. · Britain’s traditional North/South economic divide can be bridged by a successful HSR network as it will better bind and co-ordinate economic progress, as has been achieved in France in areas such as the Pas de Calais and the Alsace regions. · The Conservative Party is right to support a direct HSR link with Heathrow. It must move quickly when in Government to secure a ‘quick win’ and ensure a smooth and swift planning environment is in place. · HS2 linked to Birmingham and Manchester Airports will allow these airports to better utilise spare slots and compete more effectively with the congested south east airports NOTES 1) The Right Track – Delivering the Conservatives’ Vision for High Speed Rail by Tony Lodge, with a foreword by Lord Heseltine, is published at 0930 on January 20 2010 2) Tony Lodge is the Chairman of the Bow Group Transport Committee. Lord Heseltine is the former Conservative Cabinet Minister who supported and approved the route for the Channel Tunnel Rail link, now known as High Speed 1. He supported an approach into London from the east, and not the south as suggested by British Rail. This route allowed for the huge regeneration of what is now known as the Thames Gateway.

The Rt Hon John Redwood MP & Carl Thomson

''More for Less'' Cutting Public Spending, Protecting Public Services


''More for Less'' Cutting Public Spending, Protecting Public Services

This pamphlet looks at the main departmental budgets and identify what the Government is spending, how much they think they need to cut to balance the books, and what can be done to deliver greater efficiencies and value for money without harming essential front line public services.

Stuart Carroll & Nick Hoile “People Power: Reforming QUANGOs” – Is this Applicable to Health Agencies?
In our research piece published today we apply Mr. Cameron’s criteria to each of the key health agencies and bodies in the UK to better understand which health QUANGOs (defined as agencies, committees, advisory boards and other organisations) should be scrapped, reformed or merged.
Professor Sue Yeandle

Telecare: a crucial opportunity to help save our health and social care system


By 2025 the number of people aged 85 or older in England is set to increase by 70% to nearly two million. In this group more than a third of men (37%) and more than half of women (55%) live alone. Most have a limiting long term illness. Responding to the Government’s Green paper on social care ‘Shaping the Future of Care Together’, the University of Leeds and the Bow Group today produce new research which shows Telecare offers a proven “win-win” for the health and social care system. Telecare helps sick, disabled and older people remain at home for longer by supporting them 24/7 with alarms, alerts, health monitoring and communication.

Nick Cuff & William Smith Our Towns, Our Cities: The Next Steps for Planning Reform
Today we are publishing a paper by Nick Cuff and William Smith on planning and urban design. The paper argues that house building is being plagued by a system of box ticking, gold plating and target setting at a time when the recession is cutting new builds by half. The research, which included over 50 freedom of information requests and interviews with a panel of developers, public and private planners, also found that the UK planning system is suffering from a democratic deficit and, with a glut of 1 bed flats, is not delivering appropriate development for local neighbourhoods. The Paper calls for a lighter, more flexible, neighbourhood focused system. Key recommendations include scrapping regional plans, reducing the amount of planning policy, the reintroduction of Enterprise Zones and an end to blanket high density buildings. It also calls for an adoption of ‘the Poundbury Model’ of development for all major planning applications. The paper argues a greater use of design codes agreed between local authorities, communities and developers before a planning application is proposed, reduces conflict and improves the quality of architecture and the built environment. If you wish to comment or ask any questions concerning this report, Nick Cuff is more than happy to respond and can be contacted on nick.cuff@yahoo.co.uk
Humfrey Malins CBE MP

'Revolving Dore' A Youth Crime Pamphlet


Today the Bow Group are kindly publishing my pamphlet “Revolving Dore”. My experiences in the Courts over many years have made me increasingly concerned about the value for money of our Young Offender Institutions. The cost of a place in one of these is well over £30,000 per year and, in terms of re-offending rates, they are a dismal failure. The pamphlet raises serious issues amongst which are: the link between literacy, school exclusions and crime; the lack of emphasis at Young Offender Institutions on education; the lack of sport and in particular team sport; and the high number of hours young people spend each day locked up doing nothing constructive. One conclusion I come to is that short sentences (anything under 12 months) are a complete waste of time. No course of activities that would seriously curb re-offending can be completed in such a short space of time. Any offence not worth twelve months should be dealt with by a community punishment. I conclude by stressing the need for a comprehensive re-settlement programme, with a re-settlement wing in every Young Offender Institution which ensures that on release from custody youngsters go to decent housing, a job, or continuing education. If we don’t have an effective re-settlement policy inevitably it will mean the “revolving dore”.

Ross Carroll, Stuart Carroll and Julien Rey Doing Veterans Justice: Conversations with the Forgotten Fighters
In putting the needs of the Nation, The Army and others before their own, they forgo some of the rights enjoyed by those outside the Armed Forces. So, at the very least, British soldiers should always expect the Nation and their commanders to treat them fairly, to value and respect them as individuals, and to sustain and reward them and their families.
The Bow Group Xbow - February '09

So in the spirit of asking the unthinkable, Crossbow poses the question – "Full marks, Marx?"

Stuart Carroll and Ross Carroll The Postcode Lottery - It Could Be You

Two industry experts reveal fresh evidence that the NHS postcode lottery is alive and well at a PCT near you. 

Prof. Regina Herzlinger of Harvard

Having it All in Healthcare: America's leading expert on consumer-driven health reform presents her ideas for the UK


Prof. Regina Herzlinger of Harvard uses shocking international comparisons to reveal the failure of the NHS to deliver consistent quality of care. She argues that the root cause of this is lack of innovation, resulting from insufficient consumer choice. All Britons get the same state monopoly insurer, whether they like it or not. As long as this is the case, genuine innovators - the Bransons and Dysons of healthcare - won't enter the industry. In the absence of real innovation, the only way to respond to spiralling demand with finite resources will be rationing and waiting.

This is the first time Prof. Herzlinger - an advisor to numerous members of Congress, described by "The Economist" as "America's leading expert on consumer-oriented health reform" - has devoted a paper exclusively to health reform in the UK.

Chris Skidmore

The Failed Generation: The Real Cost of Education under Labour


The Failed Generation: The Real Cost of Education under Labour

This report, as part of the Bow Group’s Invisible Nation series, highlights the total number of pupils who have taken their GCSEs under Labour. It discovers that an entire generation of almost 4 million pupils have failed to gain their expected qualifications of five good GCSEs including English and maths, and approaching a million pupils who have not gained five GCSEs of any grade. Despite an increase in education spending of 75%, over £70.5 billion has been spent on educating pupils who failed to gain the qualifications now expected in the modern day workplace.

Christopher Mahon Bow Group reports on Boardroom pay
Over a quarter of UK CEO’s will be granted bonuses even if their firms’ profits barely keep pace with inflation, according to a new report.
The study by the Bow Group, a centre right think tank, shows that around 27%of FTSE 100 CEO’s have contracts that will still pay out bonuses if profits rise by as little as 1% above inflation. Nearly one in ten firms will pay out bonuses even if profits fail to beat inflation at all.
The study focuses on the granting of “performance shares” – shares awarded to Chief Executives if profits rise by a certain amount. The report found 33 companies in the FTSE 100 both use such a scheme and declare the relevant targets. These schemes are often worth 2-4 times annual salaries for CEOs.
Stuart Carroll NHS Drug Availability: An Evaluation of the National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence
Well-publicised controversies and damning media headlines over Alzheimer’s and oncology drugs have catapulted the National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence (NICE) firmly into the public spotlight. Set up to remedy postcode prescribing, is NICE failing patients and wasting taxpayers’ money?
Charlotte Leslie & Chris Skidmore SEN: The truth about inclusion
New research from the Bow Group reveals the true figures on exclusion and truancy of ‘included’ pupils.
Tony Lodge ‘All Hot Air’ – Labour’s Failed Strategy on Fuel Poverty
Introduction – Falling well short on set targets The Government is failing those on the lowest incomes. More and more British households are spending a higher percentage of their income on energy costs. Bow Group research shows that the number of households categorized as being in fuel poverty is expected to have almost doubled in the past four years, up from two million to over 4 million.
Chris Skidmore The Forgotten Minority: the Achievement of Traveller Children at School
As part of its series on the Invisible Nation, highlighting areas of society which have been forgotten by politicians, this Bow Group research paper has been prepared to highlight the worsening educational failure of Irish traveller and Gypsy/Roma pupils in schools.
Chris Skidmore A Levels: The Widening Gap
Last year 265,257 pupils sat A levels. 34,401 – 13%- were from the Independent sector. Independent schools made up 109,870 out of a total 715,203 A level entries, accounting for 15% of all entries. Yet despite representing just over a tenth of those pupils studying in post-16 education, this background research paper demonstrates how the Independent sector far outperforms the state sector in its results. Not only are a greater proportion of pupils in Independent schools gaining better grades, the gap between the performance of the best pupils has widened since 1997. Since 1997, there has also been a significant increase in non-traditional ‘soft’ subjects. These have been shunned by Independent schools, which have preferred to concentrate on core subjects.
Chris Skidmore A Levels: The Widening Gap
Appendix to the full report.
Christopher Mahon & Alastair Sloan London Under Livingstone
London Under Livingstone An evaluation of Labour’s Mayor A new report from the Bow Group examines the track record of Ken Livingstone as London Mayor and uncovers rising taxes and worse public services. The research, released today, sees council taxes £300 higher in London than elsewhere in the UK driven by a 174% increase in the Mayor’s GLA precept. Meanwhile buses, tubes and violent crime have all deteriorated since Ken Livingstone took control.
Chris Skidmore Key Stage Three English: An Acceptable Level?
New Analysis of the Key Stage English results by the Bow Group suggest that the threshold boundaries for gaining the accepted level 5 have significantly decreased over the past twelve years since the tests were introduced.
Chris Skidmore Boys: A School Report
This Bow Group background research paper is intended to highlight the problems that boys face in our schools
Chris Skidmore, Nick Cuff, Charlotte Leslie Invisible Children
A Bow Group Research Paper
Humfrey Malins CBE MP Crackpot - A fresh approach to drugs policy
A fresh look at drugs policy, from an MP and Magistrate
Andrew Lilico Measuring Child Poverty and Targeting its Elimination
Fresh thinking on how to define and tackle child poverty
Mark Wadsworth Keep it simple Part 2: Ten steps to simplicity
A new plan to radically reshape the UK tax system.
Chris Philp The Price of Dishonour
Peter Lilley MP Tony Blair, the Duke of York of public sector reform
Peter Lilley MP exposes the Prime Minister's posturing over public sector reform.
Mark Nicholson Keep it simple
Keep it simple - Proposals to reduce the complexity of the UK tax system
Sam Gyimah (ed) From the ashes
From the Ashes… the future of the Conservative Party. Top figures within the party discuss the future as they see it.
Nicholson, Mark No Representation Without Taxation:
Mark Nicholson proposes a radical reform of local government financing, with a detailed proposal to allow most Local Authorities to become self-financing, and thereby restore their accountability to the electorate for the provision of high quality services.
Ed. Martin McElwee April 2005: Choice and Freedom for All
A Major Report into Education policy, covering all years from Primary onwards.
Robert Porter May 2005: A Charitable Act?
This Report examines the Charities Bill currently before Parliament, and makes some suggestions for the reform of charity law.
Nicholas Hillman Mar 2005: Is Britain Working
A paper looking at the increase in the economically inactive, which unemployment figures disguise, the causes and the remedies.
Rt Hon Peter Lilley MP Feb 2005: The Case Against ID Cards
A paper by former Cabinet Minister Peter Lilley, making the case against compulsory ID cards.
Chris Philp and Aaron Smith Jan 2005: The 85 a Day who Need not Die
A report into UK Health Standards compared to other countries. This paper reveals that you have more chance of surviving lung cancer in Poland than the UK, and that 85 people die every day because European average health standards are not being met.
Nicky Morgan Oct 2004: Corporate Governance
The Bow Group's report into Corporate Governance and the results of our exclusive survey into whether FTSE350 Directors believe that recent new corporate governance regulations will make a difference.
Dr Andrew Lilico with Karen Richardson Sept 2004: Higher Education Funding
A major and controversial report into reforming the way that Higher Education is funded. The paper proposes a scholarship scheme for top students, and questions whether the state should pay for more than 35% of students to go to University.
Martin McElwee August 2004: Exam Standards
This paper explodes the myth that exam standards have been rising each year, and presents the results of a survey of academics who deal with University admissions. The clear majority believe that standards have fallen in the last 10 years and that an "A" at A-Level now is worth less than it was 10 years ago.
Ed. D. Hinds, J. Morgan, C. Philp, G. Strafford, G. Taylor April 2004: Go Zones
The full report from the Bow Group's major research project into Inner City problems and a policy reponse to them. This report covers topics such as inner city transport, crime, education, drugs and enterprise.
Nicholson, Mark January 2004: Stand and Deliver
Have Labour's increases in taxation and public spending actually improved the health service and education? If not, where has the money actually gone?
Taylor, Giles et al. The Ideas Book for London
Fresh thinking for a capital city.
Craven, Lee A radical alternative to Wanless
In a major policy paper launched at the Conservative Party's Spring Conference, Lee Craven proposes a radical new system of funding healthcare, based on the experiences of Singapore. He argues, amongst other things, that the Government should give each citizen a personal 'Healthgrant', a yearly personal healthcare fund out of which he (or she) would have to pay for an insurance policy to cover hospital and specialist care, and from the balance of which he (or she) would pay for visits to the GP.
Bogdanor, Adam Welfare that Works
Adam Bogdanor examines the cost of welfare and the dependency culture, and argues for the implementation of "Back to Work".
Robertson, James 18 Plus:
Primary research on what the 18 year olds of today think about the current political climate and guidance on what the Conservatives need to do to reach out to them.
Deva, Nirj Who Governs Britain?
Nirj Deva analyses, for the first time, preciously which powers have been moved from Westminster to Brussel, and the likely impact of further changes.
Ingham, Francis A fair deal for students
Francis Ingham examines the shortcomings of British Universities and recommmends five key changes.
Hinds, Damian et al. The Ideas Book 2000
A collection of proposals published in 2000, now available in PDF format.
Philp, Chris Making the NHS better
Chris Philp's recent paper on the National Health Service.
Rt Hon Lord Tebbit CH, John Bercow MP March 2004: Common Ground.
Norman Tebbit and John Bercow seek to identify a common policy platform.
Mark Nicholson Stand and Deliver: Has the Government's Public Spending Spree Worked?
A look at whether the recent surge in public spending has delivered improved public services.
Mark Nicholson Differentiation or Discrimination
The European Commission's Proposals for Insurance

A new look at the implications for the financial services industry of proposed developments in regulatory climate.
Martin McElwee The Conservatives in Scotland - No Time for self-congratulation
A paper arguing that the Conservative result in the Scottish election was better than many expected but was in truth little more than passable. To make a real impact, the Party needs to recognise and counter the underlying suspicion of Conservatives that still prevails in Scotland.
       
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